Newcastle vs Aston Villa

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Newcastle to win

Our forecast, from bookmaker odds, results, form and absences

141%

Newcastle41%

Draw26%

Aston Villa33%

• Likely score: 2-1
• Over 2.5 goals: 59%
• Both teams score: 62%
• Safer double chance: 12

Prediction sites: Aston Villa to win (42%)

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Match analysis

Likely scores

1-112%

2-19%

1-28%

1-07%

2-26%

Goals

Over 1.5 goals82%

Over 2.5 goals59%

Over 3.5 goals37%

Expected goals

1.6 – 1.4

Average odds

2.22 · 3.63 · 2.93

Recent form

NewcastleWDLWL

Aston VillaLDLWD

League table

Newcastle11th8 pts6 played · goals 10–13

Aston Villa17th5 pts6 played · goals 6–11

Head to head

• 25 Jan 2026Newcastle0-2Aston Villa
• 16 Aug 2025Aston Villa0-0Newcastle

Absent players

Newcastle

• Anthony Elanga · Injured (Thigh)
• Jacob Ramsey · Injured (Thigh)
• Valentino Livramento · Injured (Other)
• Ewen Jaouen · Injured (Thigh)

Aston Villa

• Ian Maatsen · Doubtful (Ankle)
• Matteo Ruggeri · Injured (Thigh)
• Andres Garcia · Doubtful (Other)
• Amadou Onana · Injured (Knee)

Goals

1. 36'0 – 1⚽ Johan Manzambiassist: João Gomes

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